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Anbound

To predict what China’s economic growth will be like in 2018, one might simply extrapolate from the downward linear progression of China’s macro-economy in recent years. It is apparent that the economic growth has been decreasing for the most part in the last decade or so, and only a fraction of the statistical data indicates an increase in economic growth. Even from the perspective of the global market, things do not look very bright for China’s economic growth in 2018.

Andrew Afanasiev

Head of Strategy and Integration Advisory

Sergey Trofimov

Head of Corporate Finance and M&A Advisory

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In Russia, efficiency improvement becomes key growth driver; banking sector, consumer demand start recovering with more to come.Headline growth figures may still be unimpressive, but leading indicators show rising investment and business activity, while consumption is finally starting to recover.

Faruque Hasan

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Since technological advancement would be a new horizon of opportunities for all the partners in the global fashion supply chain, there needs to be a collaborative approach between buyers and suppliers supported by the government and development partners so that it creates a win-win situation for all.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

In this discontented year of 2017, either a disastrous economic crisis or a reshuffle in the US share market will occur. Investors should remain vigilant and cautious in the coming turbulent times.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

To break the current economic deadlock, government leaders should cooperate on a pragmatic level to solve the problem of oversupply, and eliminating poverty is one common goal to work towards. Governments should seriously consider the redistribution of wealth to change the trend of populism that will only create more uncertainty in the political and economic climate and shake up the economy for at least the next decade.

Anbound Research Team

ANBOUND

The RCEP is of great significance for China because the nation has been excluded from the TPP. China needs to promote the conclusion of the RCEP negotiations and be prepared for India’s withdrawal from it.

He Jun

Anbound Senior Researcher

ANBOUND

Once Xiong’an New Area begins construction work, the entire economic landscape of Northern China might have to undergo a transformation and ancient Beijing may also have to face unprecedented changes.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

China has many shortcomings in the global arena, and has we all know, any shortcoming may prevent a structure from performing its full function.

He Jun

Senior Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

For the past 14 years, revitalisation has failed not because of the lack of elements or resources, but rather because of the problems in the concepts, ideas, and reforms. Therefore, the thinking needs to change, there needs to be a focus on the core issues, and painful decision needs to be made to reform the communities’ thinking, the state-owned enterprises, and the government. Lastly, we should be committed to making policies that are in line with the market economy. Only then can we achieve a real breakthrough in the revitalisation of northeast China’s economy.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

The difference in China’s and Russia’s attitudes towards Snowden is not simply a matter of diplomacy, rather, it concerns these two world powers’ ranking and position in the intelligence community.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

If the DPRK’s current leaders insist on their current methods and policy, the best option for China is to see North Korea and North Korea’s leaders as two separate entities.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

China should enhance investment in the US, either through greenfield investment or mergers and acquisitions, so as to create employment opportunities, which is exactly what Trump promised during his campaign and what he would like to see.China also needs to refine the environment and service for US investment in the country, especially in terms of further opening the country’s market.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

Anbound’s chief researcher Chen Gong believes that the current international situation has shifted from the unipolar world to a multi-polar one. First, the European Union is now sufficient to counter the power of the United States. Second, with the rise of protectionism in the United States, Donald Trump becomes the President of the United States, and the United States is less of the "world police" now.

Anbound Research Team

ANBOUND

Concerning China’s possible trade conflicts, the Chinese market’s attention is generally concentrated in the United States, especially on the Trump administration that might take tougher stand on China. However, the risk of trade disputes from Europe is not small.

Anbound Research Team

ANBOUND

On March 15, the Federal Reserve of the United States raises the interest rate, which means the United States has entered the rate hike cycle. Is the market generally concerned about whether the world has entered a different era of contraction with the past?

Anbound Research Team

ANBOUND

Once the land space is insufficient, traffic congestion, high population density and other issues will naturally appear. To some extent, the solution of these urban problems should be based on the comprehensive city carrying capacity.
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第一智库时间 1Think Times
西方的多轮制裁已深刻冲击俄罗斯经济,对俄不动产市场造成巨大的负面影响。不少俄罗斯民众的挂牌房产长期无人问津,即使是莫斯科这样的核心城市也是如此。在去年年底,不少房产的成交价跌回到了10年前。不动产市场是一国整体经济的重要指标,俄首都不动产持续下跌,其负面影响不言而喻。
中国要真正成为依靠科技创新发展的国家,需要构建有利于科技创新人才发展的环境和机制。国家之间的竞争集中体现为企业之间的竞争,企业之间的竞争集中体现为产品之间的竞争。从成功国家的经验看,以企业而非以科研院所为主体的创新体系,是培养和支持创新型人才的最佳土壤。
日本前首相安倍晋三遇刺后,遗留了一本回忆录书稿。在书中,安倍将对华外交比作下日本将棋,“如果你的对手要夺走你的金将,你必须夺走他们的飞车或角行”。他表示,如果日方想要让中国改变对待日本的强势态度,自己和自民党就必须“不断的赢得选举,让中国认为安倍政权会持续很长时间”。他不讳言,他觉得日本一直在展开这样的心理战。
尽管中国防疫政策已经转向,各类国际旅行活动规模已经明显回升。但受疫情期间特别措施的约束,中美两国在取消航班上限问题上仍处于僵局。自中美两国间的航班数量仍被限制在每周12班。两国政府近期正进行密切磋商,试图取消这一限制。但在近期的“流浪气球”事件之下,中美紧张的地缘政治关系导致相关磋商迟迟未能达成协议。
华兴资本实控人失联,在国内资本市场引起巨大震动。实际上,在中国的金融投资业,所有的人都没有原始积累,除了依靠国际资本,一大部分都是直接或间接依靠的国有金融资本。因此,只要整顿国有金融资本,那么这些曾在风口或曾经在风口上的企业家、投资家、“有钱人”,很可能都难脱干系。
中国证监会启动不动产私募投资基金试点,将采取差异化监管政策。试点基金产品投资者首轮实缴出资不低于1000万元,且以机构投资者为主;自然人投资者合计出资金额不得超过基金实缴金额的20%;不动产私募投资基金首轮实缴募集资金规模不得低于3000万元;鼓励境外投资者以QFLP(合格境外有限合伙人)方式投资基金。
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