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全球博客 Global Blog (中文  English)

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

In the month of October, concerning Renminbi's exchange rate depreciation against the dollar, the market generally focuses on the possibility of Renminbi exchange rate would fall below 7.0, and worries about the acceleration of the outflow of China’s domestic capital. Anbound’s senior researcher Chen Gong believes that stabilizing Renminbi has become China’s primary strategic task, and this is determined by the special conditions of China. However, excessive policy control and action will further trigger capital outflow, contrary to the expectatio

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

The national bonds issued annually by the Chinese Ministry of Finance have reached a considerable size and on the whole, they remain a very popular form of transactions. Most of the bonds are for economic development, while some are for environmental management. In this regard, can the Ministry of Environmental Protection issue bonds? Our research results show that it can and this is known as the green bonds. China is now the largest green bond issuer in the world; under the excessive capital, the policies of guiding the resources flowing to green sectors will not only promote economic transformation, but will also stabilize the fluctuations caused by excess capital.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

Under the pressure of the overall downturn of China's economy, e-commerce has developed rapidly and Jack Ma has become a representative of e-commerce in China. However, the industry has also brought great negative effects: monopoly status; destruction of commercial real estate; impacting on the social security mechanism; destruction of street system; affecting fiscal taxation; employment pressure; rampant counterfeit goods ; raising logistics costs and challenging financial order.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

Due to factors like production restriction of the coal industry and 276-day limit on coal mine operations in China, this year the coal price has continued to soar, the national coal mine profit situation improved significantly. In this regard, Anbound's senior researcher Mr. Chen Gong believes that China’s economic growth might be higher than what many have expected. Most people are very pessimistic about this year's economic growth, mainly due to lower economic growth statistics in previous quarters

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

On 1st October, RMB officially joined in the SDR currency of IMF, considering its significance and impact, ANBOUND's Chief Researcher, Chen Gong, provides the following advices: (1). the US played a key role in involving RMB into the SDR; (2). there is no possibility for RMB overturning the position of US dollar; (3). IMF’s reforming of absorbing RMB as SDR currency will actually strengthen America’s international financial power; (4). China has to play its role with more responsibility, but China hasn’t prepared well yet, particularly the supporting macro policies; (

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

A few days ago, the launching ceremony of the Gwadar Free Zone was held at the Gwadar Port City. It was one of the key events at the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Based on the findings of his field research, ANBOUND's renowned geostrategic expert, Chen Gong, expressed that from a strategic standpoint, the Gwadar port should be transformed from a production-oriented port city to a consumption-oriented port city in order to accumulate capital, technical, consumer, and economic value.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

Statistics shows that during the first half of the year, the economic growth rate among the provinces in China have differed significantly, of which the three northeastern provinces have severely stalled the overall economic development in China. In this regard, the chief researcher at ANBOUND Consulting, Chen Gong suggests that China should stop using a one size fits all approach in its macroeconomic policy. Instead of targeting high growth rate, first-tier cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong and Shenzhen should focus their policies on developing consumer society.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

The effort to cut overcapacity has yet to make any substantial progress and the society in general does not have proper understanding of what it entails. China has continued to intensify its effort in cutting overcapacity. Chen Gong, chief researcher at ANBOUND Consulting suggests that the cutting of overcapacity has to do with the world's structure. If China’s official policy were to align with the world, there should be more concerted efforts in building a management based and service-oriented society

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

The government of China has faced setbacks in its reform efforts. China still faces many daunting challenges in building and developing a socialist market economy that is compatible with the institution and system. Chen Gong, ANBOUND's chief researcher suggests that people are at the core of the government reform and the system determines the people. China should reform its appraisal system, remuneration system, information disclosure system, accountability system and in order to establish a new generation of highly competent civil servants, China must be bold enough to produce a breakthrough in the civil servant pension system.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

Since the beginning of this year, President Xi Jinping has repeatedly highlighted supply-side structural reform as the nation's key task. And judging from the public’s reaction, many government officials and a number of the scholars still do not have clear understanding or complete understanding on this subject matter. Having considered the current policies and the changes in China’s economy over the past few years, Chen Gong, ANBOUND’s chief researcher has reached the conclusion that China is now on the eve of a critical turning point and the light of down could be se

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

The high-level personnel have in the past complained that the instructions given did not even get out of Zhongnanhai, in fact, even if the instructions managed to go beyond Zhongnanhai, still, there will be many obstacles and problems that need to be overcome in reality. Having researched this issue for a long time, ANBOUND Consulting has finally came to the conclusion that the problems at the provincial level governments is the major hurdle to the execution of the instructions from the central government.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

Against the backdrop of the overall weak economic data in China, the volatility of the foreign exchange market in the short interval has again sparked market concern on the economic downturn in China. In this regard, ANBOUND's chief researcher, Chen Gong has analyzed the mid-long term trend of RMB exchange rate. In the mid-long term, the USD will fluctuate following the changes in US economy, however, the inflow of international capital will provide support to the USD exchange rate.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

As the nation faces continuous downward pressure, the slow private investment growth is a big weakness. In this regard, ANBOUND's chief researcher, Chen Gong analyzed the problem from six perspectives:- (i)The slowdown in private investment shows that at the macro level, the public investment increases while private investment reduces; (ii)The structural problem has restricted private investment; (iii)The problems in implementing the policies; (iv)The problems in the operations of the banks; (v)The poor macroeconomic outlook; and (vi)The underlying problems with private investment.

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

North-eastern China was once the most prosperous region in China, yet now it has become the Rust Belt of China. Anbound's Senior Researcher Chen Gong pointed out that to revitalize the economy of North-eastern China, three things should be done; firstly the unsuitable businesses should be eliminated, secondly outflow of talents should be encouraged and thirdly the Central Government needs to impose regional tax cut policy on the North-east. North-east China’s Economy is planned economy, and if these three are executed along with the governmental reform, reducing the size and scale of those depending on the finance, the economy of the Northeast will stand a chance to be revitalized after its recovery

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

Recently, the think-tank team at ANBOUND Consulting hosted an in-house forum to discuss the economic outlook for Beijing city and the major issues plaguing the city. During the conclusion session, ANBOUND's chief researcher, Chen GONG warns that China’s economy is still under immense downward pressure and this is particularly true for Beijing, which might be on the verge of collapse. Mr. Chen Gong is of the view that fiscal pressure accounts for the majority of the short-term economic problems faced by Beijing, therefore, Mr

Chen Gong

Chief Researcher, Anbound Think Tank

ANBOUND

In its latest report entitled 'Gearing Up For A New Era of Domestic Capital', Jones Lang LaSalle says that there is significant growth in Chinese real estate investment market, particularly the commercial real estate investment. ANBOUND’s chief researcher, Chen Gong is of the view that this report shows that the prosperity in commercial real estate is inconsistent with the development direction of e-commerce industry. Long ago, ANBOUND Consulting warned about this antagonizing relationship and reminded the e-merchants to actively participate in the offline business and to sync with the commercial real estate
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西方的多轮制裁已深刻冲击俄罗斯经济,对俄不动产市场造成巨大的负面影响。不少俄罗斯民众的挂牌房产长期无人问津,即使是莫斯科这样的核心城市也是如此。在去年年底,不少房产的成交价跌回到了10年前。不动产市场是一国整体经济的重要指标,俄首都不动产持续下跌,其负面影响不言而喻。
中国要真正成为依靠科技创新发展的国家,需要构建有利于科技创新人才发展的环境和机制。国家之间的竞争集中体现为企业之间的竞争,企业之间的竞争集中体现为产品之间的竞争。从成功国家的经验看,以企业而非以科研院所为主体的创新体系,是培养和支持创新型人才的最佳土壤。
日本前首相安倍晋三遇刺后,遗留了一本回忆录书稿。在书中,安倍将对华外交比作下日本将棋,“如果你的对手要夺走你的金将,你必须夺走他们的飞车或角行”。他表示,如果日方想要让中国改变对待日本的强势态度,自己和自民党就必须“不断的赢得选举,让中国认为安倍政权会持续很长时间”。他不讳言,他觉得日本一直在展开这样的心理战。
尽管中国防疫政策已经转向,各类国际旅行活动规模已经明显回升。但受疫情期间特别措施的约束,中美两国在取消航班上限问题上仍处于僵局。自中美两国间的航班数量仍被限制在每周12班。两国政府近期正进行密切磋商,试图取消这一限制。但在近期的“流浪气球”事件之下,中美紧张的地缘政治关系导致相关磋商迟迟未能达成协议。
华兴资本实控人失联,在国内资本市场引起巨大震动。实际上,在中国的金融投资业,所有的人都没有原始积累,除了依靠国际资本,一大部分都是直接或间接依靠的国有金融资本。因此,只要整顿国有金融资本,那么这些曾在风口或曾经在风口上的企业家、投资家、“有钱人”,很可能都难脱干系。
中国证监会启动不动产私募投资基金试点,将采取差异化监管政策。试点基金产品投资者首轮实缴出资不低于1000万元,且以机构投资者为主;自然人投资者合计出资金额不得超过基金实缴金额的20%;不动产私募投资基金首轮实缴募集资金规模不得低于3000万元;鼓励境外投资者以QFLP(合格境外有限合伙人)方式投资基金。
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